Just wait and see what happens in your game. And enjoy the advantage of wrong defenses for your weapons while it lasts
Sorry, I should have mentioned that the game I am referring to is almost over. I would have already won if the Jagged Edge hadn't showed up when I only had ~15 planets left to conquer

If you can get to a higher level with a different type of weapon it would be to your advantage, since they would most probably defend mainly against mass drivers.
Indeed. At no point did any of the opponent AIs build any defenses vs. my missile tech. I would have thought they'd switch to PDs at some point; they've certainly adapted in other games.
I know that at least the Yor and Altarians did do some research into other weapon techs; I know because I took them when I conquered their planets. Fairly high levels, too -- pretty sure I took the Doom Ray from the Yor. So, both races were researching but not using.
Also, the difficulty is, hmmm, Crippling, I think, so the AIs should be smart enough to think about this. It's possible, I suppose, that the AIs might be playing at lower difficulty levels. I'm not at my home pc right now, so cannot check this.